Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.054676 0.064788 0.076135 0.089793 0.105773 0.123861 0.145875
2025-04-27 0.039410 0.052490 0.068840 0.090708 0.119118 0.154701 0.202568
2025-05-04 0.030497 0.044500 0.063535 0.091148 0.130009 0.182552 0.258753
2025-05-11 0.024941 0.039267 0.060139 0.092510 0.141144 0.211113 0.318935
2025-05-18 0.021440 0.036053 0.058661 0.095797 0.154792 0.244264 0.389394
2025-05-25 0.017477 0.031241 0.053747 0.092720 0.157877 0.261548 0.437709
2025-06-01 0.014948 0.028246 0.051112 0.092641 0.165325 0.286043 0.499837
2025-06-08 0.012740 0.025369 0.048131 0.091357 0.170311 0.306762 0.557846
2025-06-15 0.011426 0.023873 0.047298 0.093628 0.181601 0.339210 0.639411
2025-06-22 0.009916 0.021715 0.044872 0.092518 0.186446 0.360663 0.703686
2025-06-29 0.008517 0.019522 0.042018 0.090100 0.188367 0.376791 0.759726
2025-07-06 0.007283 0.017449 0.039068 0.087010 0.188455 0.389278 0.809986
2025-07-13 0.006608 0.016517 0.038399 0.088648 0.198527 0.422695 0.905911
2025-07-20 0.005936 0.015474 0.037334 0.089294 0.206641 0.453203 0.999725
2025-07-27 0.005334 0.014486 0.036232 0.089676 0.214200 0.483377 1.096231
2025-08-03 0.004867 0.013748 0.035590 0.091007 0.224012 0.519361 1.209066
2025-08-10 0.004561 0.013367 0.035744 0.094241 0.238590 0.567286 1.353212
2025-08-17 0.003966 0.012095 0.033484 0.091212 0.237938 0.581083 1.422362
2025-08-24 0.003586 0.011351 0.032455 0.091133 0.244421 0.611876 1.533826
2025-08-31 0.003201 0.010516 0.031054 0.089869 0.247755 0.635597 1.631184
2025-09-07 0.002995 0.010182 0.030964 0.092106 0.260345 0.682884 1.790190
2025-09-14 0.002691 0.009482 0.029734 0.091013 0.264023 0.708647 1.899036
2025-09-21 0.002382 0.008698 0.028134 0.088632 0.263903 0.724830 1.985563